1* Free Wiseguy Play on Georgetown +8½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Calvin King

[1%] Free Play on Oregon State +5

Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: UCF -5.5

The UCF Knights are a real sleeper in this American Athletic Conference Tournament. They are playing as well as anyone in the conference outside Houston and Wichita State here down the stretch. And I look for them to continue their momentum here against the East Carolina Pirates.

UCF is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall. Both losses came by a single point to Cincinnati (68-69) and Wichita State (60-61). They have won and covered four straight coming in. That includes their 64-60 road win at East Carolina last time out when they were playing their 2nd game in 3 days. Now the Knights have been off since March 4th and have had a chance to rest up for this game.

East Carolina is 1-9 SU & 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The Pirates had a month-long COVID pause from February 8th to March 4th. After losing in their first game back to UCF, they went on to fall 69-82 to Cincinnati at home. This team just can't be trusted right now after that COVID pause, and with the way they have been playing for the last two months.

The Pirates are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. The Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a win. UCF is 21-7 ATS in its last 28 neutral site games, including 8-1 ATS in its last nine neutral site games as a favorite. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. UCF is 11-0 SU in its last 11 meetings with East Carolina. Bet UCF Thursday.

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ASA

#671/672 ASA FREE CBB PLAY ON Under 130.5 Points – Michigan State vs Maryland, Thursday at 11:30 AM ET - Maryland has been a full blown UNDER team over the 2nd half of the season or so. The Terps head coach Turgeon has really slowed the pace of his team and focused big time on the defensive end. They’ve been successful with that approach so they’ve stuck with it. Since January 23rd the Terps have played 12 games with 10 of those going UNDER the total. Their average combined points during those 12 games was just 123. The Maryland defense has allowed only 2 teams to top 66 points during that 12 game stretch. The MSU defense has played fantastic the last 2 games holding Michigan, the 6th most efficient offense in the country, to just 69 and 64 points. Sparty has now gone UNDER the total their last 5 games. These 2 teams rank 11th and 13th in offensive efficiency in Big 10 games and we expect a slow paced game similar to their only meeting this year in which there were just 100 shot attempts. The final score of that game was Maryland 73-55 (128 total points) and the Terps shot lights out hitting 50% of their 3’s and 23 of their 24 FT attempts and it still stay Under. We look for another low scoring, grinder and we’ll grab the UNDER.

Red Dog Sports

Lens -108

Lens 1

Metz 0

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Bryan Leonard

2 Washington at Philadelphia

In G+-/60 in 5x5 play we find Washington ranked 9th and Philadelphia 13th. In xG/60 the Capitals come in +0.09 and the Flyers -0.04. So both teams are roughly league average.

On the Power Play in G+-/60 Washington ranks 14th and Philadelphia 17th. In xG/60 we find the Capitals +6.10 and the Flyers +5.67.

Looking at the Penalty Kill in G+-/60 the Capitals rank 11th, while the Flyers are 28th. In xG/60 Washington is -5.33 and Philadelphia -6.87. A sizable edge to the visitor.

With Philadelphia being so poor on the Penalty Kill, you have to think this could be a good scoring opportunity for Washington. Instead of looking at the side, which is priced pretty well. Let’s expect a high scoring contest.

PLAY OVER

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on East Carolina +5½ -110

Jesse Schule

Guaranteed Win Bets Today

This is a free play on Miami.

The Canes overcame injuries to dispatch of a very good Clemson team in the ACC Tournament yesterday, and they are a huge underdog against Georgia Tech today. I am not sure we shouldn't be expecting another close game here. Miami has been pretty competitive over their last five games, allowing opponents to average just 68 points per game. Even their last two losses were in competitive games against Virginia and at Clemson. Georgia Tech has won six straight, but wins over Pittsburgh, Duke and Syracuse were all in very close games. I'll take the points and hope that a hot Miami team can hang in there against a heavily favored Georgia Tech.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Guaranteed Bet Of The Daytona 500

Sean Murphy

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Thursday.

Guaranteed Winning Bets

We saw a relatively high-scoring affair between these two teams on Tuesday night in the Motor City as Tampa Bay skated to a 4-3 victory. Here, I'm anticipating a lower-scoring contest as the Lightning look to continue their dominance of the Red Wings this season. Note that the 'under' has gone 7-1 when the Red Wings are revenging a loss in which they allowed four goals or more this season, averaging just 1.5 goals per game in that situation, contributing to an average game total of just 4.5 goals. When playing at home off a one-goal home loss, the Wings have averaged just 1.6 goals per game over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 3.9 goals. Meanwhile, the Lightning are averaging just 2.2 goals per game when coming off three consecutive games where both teams scored three goals or more this season, as is the case here. This has the potential to be a flat spot for the Bolts at the tail-end of what has been a very successful six-game road trip. While I have no interest in fading them with a play on the Wings here, I will downgrade the Tampa Bay offense slightly and play the 'under'. Take the under (8*).

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